Bayn46 said:
Budget speech next month, and I don't expect anything meaningful to come out of it, just more vague comments.
Expect it to keep dropping and then expect junk status by middle of the year.
So this is what is going to happen:
1. End of this month, they are going to hike interest rates again to try and kerb the rand (which will obviously not work)
2. They are probably going to hammer us with a VAT increase
3. Sin tax is going to get moered
4. They are probably going to increase the Super Tax even more
Then, when OPEC is done playing their games, and trust me, they are playing games, brent will jump back to around 100USD a barrel and we will be looking at R20+ a liter of fuel. That + having to import food at USD rate due to drought etc will push inflation into the red which would require more interest rate hikes. This would mean the people of the country would want more money because they cant afford petrol or food, which means more strikes, which means more production losses, which means they need to hike prices to stay in green pushing inflation even harder, leading to more interest rate hikes... Going to be a great year